Automatos Markets — the live cockpit

CANDLES → INDICATORS → CONVICTION → SETUPS → EVIDENCE

STALEINGESTED #—

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1H·4H·1D·

POLL 20S · SWING DESK · READ-ONLY

WHY · PLAIN-ENGLISH READTEMPLATED FROM COMPUTED FACTS · NOT LLM PROSE

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PRICE · —

TYPENEXT BAR —

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SPREAD —

OHLCV · —

SWING LEVELS · ——

▸WHAT THE MARKS MEAN

Up arrow under a candle = an up-leaning pattern (blue); down arrow over a candle = a down-leaning one (rust); a grey circle = no direction (doji, inside bar). Hover a marked candle to see what was found on it. The newest candle is still forming: its mark can appear, change or vanish until it closes.

CANDLE PATTERNS

ENG+Bullish engulfing. An up candle whose body completely covers the previous down candle's body — buyers overwhelmed the bar before.

ENG−Bearish engulfing. A down candle whose body completely covers the previous up candle's body — sellers overwhelmed the bar before.

HAMHammer. A lower wick at least twice the body and little or no upper wick — sellers pushed the price down during the bar and buyers pushed it back.

STARShooting star. An upper wick at least twice the body and little or no lower wick — buyers pushed the price up and sellers pushed it back.

PIN+Bullish pin bar. Two-thirds or more of the candle is lower wick, with a small body — lower prices were tried and rejected.

PIN−Bearish pin bar. Two-thirds or more of the candle is upper wick, with a small body — higher prices were tried and rejected.

DOJIDoji. Open and close almost the same (the body is under a tenth of the range) — indecision, no direction.

IBInside bar. The whole candle sits inside the previous candle's range — the market paused and contracted.

·LAt a level. Added when the candle printed at a support or resistance line: its low within 0.75% of a support for an up pattern, its high within 0.75% of a resistance for a down one (a doji or inside bar can be at either). Drawn bigger. A shape at a level is evidence; the same shape mid-range is noise — only ·L patterns feed the Level Rejection setup.

REPLAYED TRADES (REPLAY MARKS ON)

BRBreakout + retest (replayed entry). Where the replay entered a Breakout + Retest trade: price broke a level, came back to test it, and held.

LRLevel rejection (replayed entry). Where the replay entered a Level Rejection trade: a reversal candle printed at a level and the next close confirmed it.

TPTrend pullback (replayed entry). Where the replay entered a Trend Pullback trade: in an established trend, price pulled back into the average zone and turned.

+1.9RReplayed exit. Where that replayed trade ended, and its result in R — multiples of what it risked: +2R made twice the risk, −1R lost it. Blue = win, rust = loss, grey = ran out of time. Shown with REPLAY MARKS on.

LINES

S1 ×3Support line (dashed). A price the chart has turned up from before; ×3 = how many past turning points cluster there. S1 is the nearest.

R1 ×2Resistance line (dashed). A price the chart has turned down from before; ×2 = how many past turning points cluster there. R1 is the nearest.

T1 +2.0R · NET +1.8RPlan target. Where the active trade plan would take profit, in R before and after costs.

IF LONG · SLPlan stop. Where the plan would be proved wrong. "IF" because a plan is arithmetic, not advice.

CAN'T TELL YOUA flag describes one candle, not the future. On short timeframes these shapes appear constantly by chance — check the setup's own record on this chart before trusting one.

CONVICTION · TRANSPARENT SCORE

DETERMINISTIC · NO LLM

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P(UP)—

P(DOWN)—

CONFIDENCE—

LOGISTIC OF SCORE · MODEL OUTPUT, NOT MARKET-IMPLIED

EDGE VS BOOK—NO LIVE WINDOW

FACTORS · WEIGHT × SIGNAL = CONTRIBUTION

Trend (EMA stack)—

W 0.00

Price vs EMA200—

W 0.00

RSI(14) momentum—

W 0.00

MACD histogram—

W 0.00

Support / Resistance—

W 0.00

Chart pattern—

W 0.00

Volume (participation)—

W 0.00

1D trend (HTF)—

W 0.00

PATTERNS

NONE DETECTED IN WINDOW

RSI(14)—

MACD HIST—

ATR(14)—

EMA200—

SETUPS · THE PLAYBOOK

STATE MACHINES · REPLAYED ON THIS EXACT CHART

SETUP · —

TRADE PLAN · IF-ARITHMETIC, NOT ADVICECOSTS 10BPS MODEL

No plan — nothing is triggered or confirmed. Waiting is a position.

POSITIONING · PERP CROWD

PANEL-ONLY · NOT IN SCORE

FUNDING RATE—

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NO READ

OPEN INTEREST—

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READ WITH PRICE—

THE BOOK · CROWD VS MODEL

POLYMARKET · READ-ONLY DATA · WINDOW-DIRECTION MARKETS

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PROBABILITY LATTICE · — · CONVICTION RULE (ALL)

EVERY TRADE = ONE BALL · 7 RETURN BINS · TILT —

LIVE CONVERGENCE · RUNNING HIT-RATE

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BALLS DROPPED—

LANDED GREEN—

EV / TRADE—

WINDOW—

REALISED FILLS—

RULE · —

LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS — THE EDGE ONLY NEEDS REPETITION · PAPER BACKTEST, NOT FILLSNO TRADES — NOTHING TO CLAIM

RELATIONSHIP GRAPH · ROLLING RETURN CORRELATION

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NODE CLASS

Bull signal0

Bear signal0

Median path0

Catalyst0

Cluster hub0

HUB—

PAIRS—

EDGES = PEARSON CORR OF ALIGNED RETURNS · SATELLITES = REAL CONVICTION FACTORS

GRAPH · —

READOUT · MODEL OUTPUT

P(UP)—

P(DOWN)—

EDGE VS BOOK—

NO LIVE WINDOW

CONFIDENCE—

PAIRWISE CORR · —

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BACKTEST-LITE · CONVICTION RULE

PAPER · REAL CANDLES

COMPOUNDED EQUITY · 1.0 START—

NO TRADES OVER WINDOW

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HIT RATE—

EV / TRADE—

MEDIAN—

WINS / LOSSES—

BREAKEVEN—

CANDLES—

WINDOW—

HORIZON—

THRESHOLD—

FEE—

SIMULATION OVER REAL HISTORY · NON-OVERLAPPING FIXED-HORIZON TRADES · NOT LIVE FILLS

CALIBRATION · SAID VS HAPPENED

EVIDENCE IS ALWAYS ON · RECORDER OFF · COIN-FLIP BRIER = 0.250

Recorder off — —