CANDLES → INDICATORS → CONVICTION → SETUPS → EVIDENCE
AUTOMATOS
MARKET INTELLIGENCE
PITCH
LEARN OFF
STALE
INGESTED #—
—
SWING
SCALP
BTC
ETH
SOL
1H
4H
1D
1H
·
4H
·
1D
·
i
POLL 20S · SWING DESK · READ-ONLY
WHY · PLAIN-ENGLISH READ
i
TEMPLATED FROM COMPUTED FACTS · NOT LLM PROSE
—
PRICE · —
EMA20
EMA50
EMA200
FIT
—
—
SPREAD —
i
SWING LEVELS · —
—
i
CONVICTION · TRANSPARENT SCORE
i
DETERMINISTIC · NO LLM
—
—
P(UP)
—
P(DOWN)
—
CONFIDENCE
—
LOGISTIC OF SCORE · MODEL OUTPUT, NOT MARKET-IMPLIED
EDGE VS BOOK
—
NO LIVE WINDOW
FACTORS · WEIGHT × SIGNAL = CONTRIBUTION
Trend (EMA stack)
i
—
W 0.00
Price vs EMA200
i
—
W 0.00
RSI(14) momentum
i
—
W 0.00
MACD histogram
i
—
W 0.00
Support / Resistance
i
—
W 0.00
Chart pattern
i
—
W 0.00
Volume (participation)
i
—
W 0.00
1D trend (HTF)
i
—
W 0.00
PATTERNS
NONE DETECTED IN WINDOW
RSI(14)
i
—
MACD HIST
i
—
ATR(14)
i
—
EMA200
—
SETUPS · THE PLAYBOOK
STATE MACHINES · REPLAYED ON THIS EXACT CHART
SETUP · —
SETUP · —
SETUP · —
TRADE PLAN · IF-ARITHMETIC, NOT ADVICE
i
NO PLAN — NOTHING IS TRIGGERED OR CONFIRMED. WAITING IS A POSITION.
POSITIONING · PERP CROWD
PANEL-ONLY · NOT IN SCORE
FUNDING RATE
i
—
—
—
NO READ
OPEN INTEREST
i
—
—
—
READ WITH PRICE
—
THE BOOK · CROWD VS MODEL
i
POLYMARKET · READ-ONLY DATA · WINDOW-DIRECTION MARKETS
—
PROBABILITY LATTICE · — · CONVICTION RULE (ALL)
i
EVERY TRADE = ONE BALL · 7 RETURN BINS · TILT —
CONVICTION RULE (ALL)
BREAKOUT + RETEST
LEVEL REJECTION
TREND PULLBACK
LIVE CONVERGENCE · RUNNING HIT-RATE
—
—
BALLS DROPPED
—
LANDED GREEN
—
EV / TRADE
—
WINDOW
—
REALISED FILLS
—
RULE · —
LOSS
PROFIT
BREAKEVEN
LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS — THE EDGE ONLY NEEDS REPETITION · PAPER BACKTEST, NOT FILLS
NO TRADES — NOTHING TO CLAIM
RELATIONSHIP GRAPH · ROLLING RETURN CORRELATION
—
NODE CLASS
Bull signal
0
Bear signal
0
Median path
0
Catalyst
0
Cluster hub
0
HUB
—
PAIRS
—
EDGES = PEARSON CORR OF ALIGNED RETURNS · SATELLITES = REAL CONVICTION FACTORS
GRAPH · —
READOUT · MODEL OUTPUT
P(UP)
—
P(DOWN)
—
EDGE VS BOOK
—
NO LIVE WINDOW
CONFIDENCE
—
PAIRWISE CORR · —
—
BACKTEST-LITE · CONVICTION RULE
PAPER · REAL CANDLES
COMPOUNDED EQUITY · 1.0 START
—
NO TRADES OVER WINDOW
—
HIT RATE
—
EV / TRADE
—
MEDIAN
—
WINS / LOSSES
—
BREAKEVEN
—
CANDLES
—
WINDOW
—
HORIZON
—
THRESHOLD
—
FEE
—
SIMULATION OVER REAL HISTORY · NON-OVERLAPPING FIXED-HORIZON TRADES · NOT LIVE FILLS
CALIBRATION · SAID VS HAPPENED
i
EVIDENCE IS ALWAYS ON · RECORDER OFF · COIN-FLIP BRIER = 0.250
RECORDER OFF — —